Draft

HF Draft Review Is Divorced From Reality

Long time readers of the website know that the staff here at Bolt Prospects has a bit of a chequered past with that other hockey prospects website, Hockeysfuture. Without getting to deep into the specifics, after years of myself, Chad and Tim working the Lightning page on that website we as a group had a falling out with management over what seemed to us to be obvious bias in their decision making process against us and the Lightning's prospects. It wasn't something that happened overnight and we didn't leave all at once but eventually Tim had the idea to start a blog and we seized on it and started making plans. The rest, as they say, is history.

Long time readers of this website also know that we've never been afraid to call out Hockeysfuture for what we've seen as continuing bias in the product over at that website. One of the most obvious points of contention we had with HF was their refusal for almost two years to assign a writer to cover the Lightning's prospects. It wasn't until shortly after the Lightning internet community responded strongly to an incident in which a high ranking HF writer called prospects Blair Jones and Justin Keller trash and Bolt Prospects' subsequent smackdown of said writer that HF finally conceded and assigned longtime writer and all around standup guy Phil Laugher to cover the team's prospects. Laugher earned his street cred with the Lightning fan base when he apologized publicly to Lightning fans about a year prior when HF released a set of rankings that had NHL regular Paul Ranger 9th in the organization, soon-to-be NHL regular Nick Tarnasky 19th in the organization, and Keller and Russian superprospect Vasily Koshechkin out of the rankings altogether.

Under Laugher, it has been our website's opinion that the product on HF has improved by leaps and bounds. Considering he's been struggling upstream against an online editor who clearly has ulterior motives, their site has actually become tolerable over the last year. As such, we've had an unofficial truce with HockeysFuture over the past 14 or so months. Unfortunately, Phil didn't write the horribly divorced from reality draft review HF just put out for the Lightning, a piece so bad I got multiple e-mails from the Bolt Prospects staff within moments of their reading it. Considering their strong negative reaction to the article, I'm afraid we as a site have to respond.

Now, admittedly I have no idea who Elisa Hatch is. And let me just say ahead of time, it's not her fault Hockeysfuture's editors and management decided to put her in a difficult situation and its not her fault they offered her so little editorial support in the course of writing this article. Nearest as I can tell this is Hatch's first solo article at HF and unfortunately, without knowledgable editors who actually care about the subject matter, the quality of the work suffered.

Bottom line: several of the contentions of the article are diametrically opposed to the professional opinions of several reputable scouting outlets including the Lightning's scouting staff, THN, Red Line Report and the NHL Central Scouting Service. You don't have to take it from us that the article is flawed. Take it from those other professionals.

Red Line's Take on the Lightning's Draft Picks

Remind me next year to order Red Line three weeks before draft day instead of two...

Anyway, looking through Red Line's draft guide there are a lot of positives for the Lightning coming out of this draft. Here's how they had the picks the Lightning took rated and, where given, the short blurb about each:

#30 Dana Tyrell: "Love his speed, smarts, and competitiveness."
#54 Luca Cunti: "It's a team game, Luca. It's not all about you."
#62 Alexander Killorn: "Blazing fast playmaker. Stock rising like gas prices."
#100 Mitch Fadden: "Dynamic scorer should've been taken last year."
#160 Matt Marshall: "Bull in a china shop, but has no hands or finesse."
#207 Torrie Jung
#290 Michael Ward

NR Johan Harju
NR Justin Courtnall

Lightning 2007 NHL Entry Draft Analysis

Entering the draft the Lightning's prospects of filling their organizational needs at forward looked so bleak the local media was printing stories that were already ratcheting down expectations. The team had no first round pick. It might not have had a second round pick if the Panthers had exercised the option they gained in the Chris Gratton trade. 2007 looked like a throwaway draft. Yet for some strange reason I actually had a good feeling about this draft because there were parallels to the 2002 draft. You'll recall in 2002, Jay Feaster's first draft as the head of the Bolts, the team dealt off its #4 overall pick in the controversial Ruslan Fedotenko deal and then dealt off a second round pick for defenseman Brad Lukowich leaving the team with a lone second round pick as their only selection in the first three rounds. And, like this year's draft, 2002 was panned as a poor draft class with the exception of the first 4 or 5 picks.

2002 was the finest hour of the Lightning's scouts during the Jay Feaster era even despite stubbing their toe with Adam Henrich with their first selection. They succeeded by outworking the rest of the league that day. Most of the other scouting staffs in the NHL were so sour on that draft class they didn't even want to deal with the later rounds of the draft. Carolina practically gave away a bundle of picks to the Lightning because there were no more players they wanted left on their list. And so the much maligned Lightning scouting staff crafted a working man's masterpiece almost entirely from round six on: Paul Ranger, Fredrik Norrena and Ryan Craig are all NHL regulars. Darren Reid has seen time in the league each of the last two seasons. Vasily Koshechkin is considered perhaps the best goaltending prospect in all of Russia. The team thought outside the box. They took overagers (Craig). They turned over rocks to find players (Koshechkin). They gambled on players who might not have played much during the year but had the skills and upside to warrant taking a flyer (Ranger). They haven't had a draft that good since.

Something about the challenge of making something out of nothing makes this Lightning staff rise to the occassion, and while I can't guarantee that the 2007 draft will pan out as well as that 2002 draft, there's reason to be very optimistic. The philosophy was different for this draft, but the work ethic wasn't and when Ottawa practically gave away a bundle of three picks for a spare 4th round pick today the comparisons to 2002 became even stronger. I liked what I saw today.

2007 Entry Draft

[h2]2007 Entry Draft[/h2]
RND PICK POS PLAYER NAME
CLUB NHL GP

Lightning 2007 NHL Entry Draft Complete

Lightning 2007 NHL Entry Draft Picks

First Round
NONE

Second Round
#47 Overall
C/RW Dana Tyrell, 5'10" 185 lbs, Prince George (WHL)

Third Round
#75 Overall
LW Luca Cunti, 6'0" 185 lbs, GCK (SUI NLB)

#77 Overall
C Alexander Killorn, 6'0" 161 lbs, Deerfield (USHS)

Fourth Round
#107 Overall
C Mitch Fadden, 6'0" 174 lbs, Lethbridge (WHL)

Fifth Round
#150 Overall*
C/RW Matt Marshall, 6'1" 175 lbs, Nobles (USHS)

Sixth Round
#167 Overall
LW/C Johan Harju, 6'3" 205 lbs, Lulea (SWE)

Seventh Round
#183 Overall*
G Torrie Jung, 6'1" 170 lbs, Kelowna (WHL)

#197 Overall
D Michael Ward, 6'2" 180 lbs, Lewiston (QMJHL)

#210 Overall*
LW Justin Courtnall, 6'3" 185 lbs, Burnaby (BCHL)

*=Lightning trade Dallas' 4th round pick (acquired in the Darryl Sydor trade) to Ottawa in exchange for picks #150, #183 and #210.

For Head Scout Jake Goertzen's comments on each pick, see the Tampa Tribune review.

7th Round, #210 Overall, Justin Courtnall

With their final selection of the 2007 NHL Entry Draft in the 7th round, #210 overall, acquired from Ottawa, the Lightning select:

LW Justin Courtnall, 6'3" 185 lbs, Burnaby (BCHL)
53 GP, 5-9-14, 69 PIM

Justin is the son of former NHL player Geoff Courtnall and nephew of former NHLer Russ Courtnall. Was drafted by Kelowna in the 11th round of the 2004 WHL Bantam Draft but has elected to stay in high school and pursue the college route. He was loaned to Burnaby by Victoria last season where he put up modest numbers. Is considered to be a good skater with good hands, but his numbers don't reflect it. Will play for Victoria in the BCHL next season. No word on his college options at this time.

Rankings:
NHL CSS: #181 (North American Skaters)

7th Round, #197 Overall, Michael Ward

With their 7th round pick, #197 overall, the Lightning select:

D Michael Ward, 6'2" 180 lbs, Lewiston (QMJHL)
58 GP, 0-7-7, 39 PIM

Ward is a mobile stay-at-home defenseman who was picked by Lewiston at the top of the second round in the 2006 QMJHL entry draft. Lewiston traded its second and third round pick to move up to take him at No.22 overall. Ward hasn't exhibited much offensive game to this point in his career, but neither had Paul Ranger at this age. Lewiston won the QMJHL championship this year, losing only one game in the QMJHL playoffs. The MAINEiacs went 1-3 at the Memorial Cup. Ward played in three Memorial Cup games, going scoreless.

Rankings:
NHL CSS: #156 (North American Skaters)

7th Round, #183 Overall, Torrie Jung

With the #183 pick overall in the 7th round, acquired from Ottawa, the Lightning select:

G Torrie Jung, 6'1" 170 lbs, Kelowna (WHL)
33 GP, 8-15-7, 1 SO, 3.46 GAA, .896 sv%

Jung served as backup to Kristofer Westblom this year in Kelowna but will probably assume starting duties next year for the Rockets. He's an athletic goaltender who is reasonably well schooled and was considered one of the best Western Canadian goaltenders in his age group but did not play in Kelowna until midway through the season. As he gets playing time, he'll no doubt start to develop to his potential.

Rankings:
NHL CSS: #24 (North American Goaltenders)

6th Round, #167 Overall, Johan Harju

With their 6th round pick, #167 overall, the Lightning select:

LW/C Johan Harju, 6'3" 205 lbs, Lulea (SWE)
55 GP, 12-10-22, 30 PIM

Harju is an overage prospect who spent last season in the Swedish Elitserien with Lulea playing on a team with former NHLers Mikael Renberg and Lubos Bartecko. He finished 8th on the team in scoring with 12 goals and 22 points in 55 games. Played primarily on the team's third line during the regular season. Had 2 goals in 4 playoff games and moved up to Lulea's top two lines to play center in the postseason. Can play center and wing. Could be signed and play in Norfolk next season.

5th Round, #150 Overall, Matt Marshall

There has been a trade. The Lightning have traded Dallas' 4th round pick in next years draft acquired in the Sydor trade to Ottawa for a bundle of three picks including #150 in the 5th round.

The Lightning select:

C/RW Matt Marshall, 6'1" 175 lbs, Nobles (USHS)
27 GP, 14-10-24, 8 PIM

Like Fadden, Marshall was passed over in last year's draft. He possesses good speed and plays more of a two-way game. Isn't afraid to take the body. Not a pure offensive talent and needs to grow into that part of his game. Played some point on the power play for Nobles. Excellent defensively. Tireless worker. Played center all year for Nobles but considers himself a natural winger. Committed to Vermont of the Hockey East but will play one more year at Nobles before heading to the NCAA, although his USHL rights are held by Waterloo who drafted him #78 overall in the USHL Entry Draft.

Rankings:
NHL CSS: #63 (North American Skaters)

The Lightning have also acquired two additional 7th round picks in the trade: #183 and #210 overall.

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