Palin's absolutely unelectable, and the GOP leadership knows it. They'll torpedo her candidacy and Huckabee and Gingrich will end up not running, I think. Under normal circumstances, I'd say Romney would be next in line. Republicans don't fall in love, they fall in line. And, they're big on selecting the next guy in line no matter how boring and flawed a candidate they are, which is why Dole made it through in 1996 and McCain in 2008. So, if the Democrats and Obama stabilize their numbers over the next year, and I suspect they will, I expect a conventional choice like Romney from the Republicans and Romney will lose. However, if blood is still in the water, they might go for it and choose someone else like Thune, in which case it'd be a pretty tough race.
I also have a problem with elections not being a 50%+1 scenario. To me, the simplest and most cost-effective solution to that is to have instant runoff voting, though, where voters get to log their second and third choices. The biggest selling point for a system like that, in my mind, is that it would have averted the abject disaster of the Bush presidency, because Nader voters would've listed Gore as their second choice and he'd have won walking in Florida, and there isn't a day that goes by that I don't think about how much better off the country would be if Gore had been in office and not Bush.
S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-Stammermeter 2012-2013: 29
Last edited by pete; 11-19-2010 at 10:21 AM.