News of the Day

[Hoek]

Just want to congratulate SpaceX on the successful berthing of the Dragon spacecraft to the ISS! Fantastic job, everything has gone smoothly so far.

[Donnie D]

Originally Posted by WaiverWire

And as soon as we cut the light someone will get hurt and sue

Done right they should provide the same light without the wasted energy. But you are right, the first time someone falls at night they will be blaming the lighting change. (almost put an n in the word lighting).

[the_narrow_way]

Originally Posted by Hoek

Just want to congratulate SpaceX on the successful berthing of the Dragon spacecraft to the ISS! Fantastic job, everything has gone smoothly so far.

[Flycoon]

Willard propping up a suggestion proposal/suggestion that the constitution be amended to require at least three years of "business experience" as part of the qualification to hold the office of President.

If only this was passed in 1979........

[BurnTHalO]

Originally Posted by Flycoon

Willard propping up a suggestion proposal/suggestion that the constitution be amended to require at least three years of "business experience" as part of the qualification to hold the office of President.

If only this was passed in 1979........

Would have been nice to have kept that socialist liberal out of office.

[pete]

That guy is so politically tone deaf. The national polls are close right now only because people aren't paying attention, but once he falls under the microscope and loses the "Generic Republican" sheen, I can't imagine Americans liking what they'll see. He really, kind of, is a king-sized douche. I found McCain more likeable, and McCain was likely to scream at me to get the hell off his lawn.

Originally Posted by pete

That guy is so politically tone deaf. The national polls are close right now only because people aren't paying attention, but once he falls under the microscope and loses the "Generic Republican" sheen, I can't imagine Americans liking what they'll see. He really, kind of, is a king-sized douche.

Or they will like more than what they currently have.

[pete]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/154547/ob...ge-romney.aspx

A 29% gap in likeability is pretty damned solid for the President.

Originally Posted by pete

http://www.gallup.com/poll/154547/ob...ge-romney.aspx

A 29% gap in likeability is pretty damned solid for the President.

Yup it sure is, but his job approval rating is below 50%. That is not good for a sitting president, and if the economy does tank again, like many are saying, this rating will continue to fall.

And there are several polls out that claim Romney has a greater support when the question is asked who would do a better job restoring the economy.

And then again there are several that favor Obama.

Many say it will all depend on the jobs numbers. According to a report in USA TODAY Obama would win today with 50.2% of the votes and he would get 303 electoral votes. However they are saying that the jobs number coming out Friday will not be good. It will be better than the last report with 150,000 new jobs, but short of the 200,000 that is needed. Add into that there are more layoffs in the works and many feel that the future jobs reports will be worse. If that is the case Obama will not be re-elected.

http://www.usatoday.com/money/econom...act/55289652/1

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News say the economy is expected to have added 150,000 jobs in May, with unemployment holding at 8.1%. That's up from 115,000 new jobs last month, but below the 200,000-plus monthly gains this winter.

"It's very close," said Fair, who pointed out that his model says Romney will win if growth slows this year, as many economists expect. "The model has an average error of 2%."

Point is the polls now have the right and left entrenched with their "guy". Those that matter, the independent" will not make a choice until days before the election. So as of now I could careless what the polls say with the race running neck and neck.

[pete]

Yup it sure is, but his job approval rating is below 50%. That is not good for a sitting president

His numbers are very similar to Dubya's 8 years ago.

More importantly, though, the map is clearly against Romney right now.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/...-electoral-map

State level polling has Obama with solid leads in states worth 253 EV's. If that holds, Romney has to win both Ohio to Florida just to stay alive mathematically, and he could still lose if Obama wins 2 out of Colorado, Missouri, North Carolina, Virginia, or Wisconsin. Out of all of those states, Romney only leads in Missouri and North Carolina is a dead heat.

Romney's problem is sort of a variant of what you said: the national polls exaggerate his strength because he runs up the score in blood red states that were going to vote Republican anyway. However, as deeply unpopular as Obama may be in those blood red states, his support is equally solid in most of the blue states, so Romney will have to thread the needle to have any chance. He's in a very similar position to John Kerry in 2004, where Kerry pretty much had to win Florida or Ohio for the electoral college to work for him. Unfortunately for Romney, he could carry both and there are still plenty of other scenarios where he loses.

Current Polling

Missouri: Romney +0.7% (2008, McCain +0.1%)

-------------------------

North Carolina: Tied (2008, Obama +0.4%)

-------------------------

Florida: Obama +0.5% (2008, Obama +2.5%)
Wisconsin: Obama +3.5% (2008, Obama +13.9%)
Ohio: Obama +3.6% (2008, Obama +4.0%)
Colorado: Obama +4.0% (2008, Obama +8.6%)

-------------------------< Romney has to get here to win electoral college.

Virginia: Obama +4.3% (2008, Obama +6.3%)