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  #1661  
Old 07-23-2020, 08:45 PM
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1,150 COVID deaths today in the US.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Another tough day for Texas.

The good news is the Rt in Texas and Florida have fallen below 1.0. Arizona also. So, if they can ride out the next three or four weeks they should get over the worst of it, presumably.

https://rt.live/

And then we'll see if this first wave moves somewhere else, or if it subsides until the second wave comes in Fall.
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  #1662  
Old 07-23-2020, 10:36 PM
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Unfortunately it will continue to migrate. We have no federal response, no federal leadership, too many governors who want to please the President and an uncooperative public - though I blame much of the latter on the lack of federal leadership.

As soon as the numbers start to drop, the governors will reopen and we will go through this all again. So we will continue to play Coronavirus whack a mole.

The best hope is that on January 21 we are in the process of starting a national immunization program. The anti vaccine folks will scream like crazy, but as long as airlines, cruise ships, large employers, foreign travel, colleges and schools require vaccinations, we will be ok.
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  #1663  
Old 07-24-2020, 08:11 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Donnie D View Post
Unfortunately it will continue to migrate. We have no federal response, no federal leadership, too many governors who want to please the President and an uncooperative public - though I blame much of the latter on the lack of federal leadership.

As soon as the numbers start to drop, the governors will reopen and we will go through this all again. So we will continue to play Coronavirus whack a mole.

The best hope is that on January 21 we are in the process of starting a national immunization program. The anti vaccine folks will scream like crazy, but as long as airlines, cruise ships, large employers, foreign travel, colleges and schools require vaccinations, we will be ok.
My knee jerk was that it'll go to Atlanta next, and it may yet, but the Rt numbers point to it going back to places like Denver and Chicago where it's already been as well as some of the rural states and maybe some mid-sized cities like St. Louis.
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  #1664  
Old 07-24-2020, 10:34 AM
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https://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...-a9632476.html

Any chance Maxwell tells prosecutors what she knows about Trump??
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  #1665  
Old 07-24-2020, 10:48 AM
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Stephen Miller’s Grandmother Died of COVID-19. Her Son Blames the Trump Administration.

The White House is saying that she died of old age, but the death certificate says COVID-19. Stephen Miller, the good nazi, is willing to throw his own grandmother overboard for Donald Trump.

https://www.motherjones.com/politics...dministration/
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  #1666  
Old 07-24-2020, 11:47 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nutznboltz View Post
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...-a9632476.html

Any chance Maxwell tells prosecutors what she knows about Trump??
Doubt very much she will say a peep that's damaging to his interests until a Democratic administration is in power.
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  #1667  
Old 07-24-2020, 12:23 PM
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Quote:
NEW Senate Polls

#AZSen:
Kelly (D) 51% (+9)
McSally (R-inc) 42%

#NCSen:
Cunningham (D) 48% (+8)
Tillis (R-inc) 40%

#MESen:
Gideon (D) 47% (+5)
Collins (R-inc) 42%

@ppppolls
https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/...184222720?s=20

Along with flipping Colorado, which is highly likely at this juncture, these three seats plus a Biden victory flips the Senate. With that said, Democrats would do well to keep pushing hard in the second tier (IA, GA-Regular, MT) and third tier (GA-Special, AK, TX, KS, SC) races because they probably need to get to 52 seats to safely overturn the filibuster (Manchin has said he won't play ball and Sinema could also be problemmatic) and to make their majority hard to flip in the 2022 midterms. The map is, on balance, favorable to Democrats in the Senate in 2022, so if they can get to 52-53 seats it will be really difficult for Republicans to get the majority back until at least 2024, which may lead McConnell to retire.
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  #1668  
Old 07-24-2020, 12:33 PM
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Congressman Vern Buchanan’s aid dies from COVID. His office is one floor above my old office. They were sanitizing the building and I’m hoping that no one from my old office was exposed.
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  #1669  
Old 07-24-2020, 12:34 PM
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I should also say that those three second tier races may be second tier in name only given there's polling there showing Greenfield, Ossoff, and Bullock as competitive and, in some cases, holding small leads.

Senate races have a tendency to break mostly all one way or another, and in this case with a top of ticket candidate for POTUS running approximately 8-10% ahead nationally I would expect 2-3 of these second tier races to break to the Democrats if the election were held today.

And, if Trump continues to run 8-10% behind Biden between now and Labor Day, I'd expect at least one or two of those third tier races to morph into a second tier race.
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  #1670  
Old 07-24-2020, 01:16 PM
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Odds of the filibuster being shot into the moon if Dems flip the Senate?
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